Russia-Ukraine war - latest news updates; Pjotr Sauer. Who would win a war between NATO and Russia? 'Pouring oil on fire' The costs to Russia would be too high, the benefits too limited. What would a war with Russia look like today. In response, the U.S. and its NATO allies are working to build, train and equip Ukrainian forces. Ukrainian servicemen patrol near the chemical plant in Avdeevka, a town just north of the city of Donetsk, on June 20. Farkas is stepping down from her post at the end of October, after five years at the Defense Department. How will Russia's war with Ukraine end? Here are 5 possible outcomes - CNBC Russia Could Collapse Into 'New States' After Ukrainian - Newsweek Down goes the money for more traditional hardware and troop numbers. Here, Popular Mechanics examines two classic nuclear attack scenarios: a counterforce strike and a countervalue strike. Ukrainian soldiers man an anti-aircraft weapon at a checkpoint outside the town of Amvrosiivka, eastern Ukraine, close to the Russian border, Thursday, June 5, 2014. It really doesnt make much difference, because there would be hardly anyone left in the United States in a position to notice. No matter what, it would be a nightmare for Europe's leaders. Nuclear War Simulator Shows What War With Russia Would Look Like - Newsweek The dynamic between the two states seems driven by impatience; an impatience in the North that the world still refuses to take it seriously despite its magnificent nuclear weapons, and an impatience in the South that a nation of great significance remains burdened by its inept and retrograde sibling. Explainer: What would a nuclear war look like? - SWI swissinfo.ch ", Sign up for our new free Indy100 weekly newsletter. Staff officers often seethe quietly at an absence of precise political objectives for a war. So not just the military but societies overall will be a prime target in future conflict.". The exercise will feature the Black Sea Fleet's flagship, the guided missile cruiser Moskva, as well as several smaller escort vessels and large amphibious assault and landing ships, Russia's TASS news agency reported. At this point, the United States could surrender and face an uncertain future, or it could fight back. "What the Russians are looking for is not to take on and compete on equal terms with us. The six hypersonic weapons are not particularly accurate, but loaded with devastating two-megaton warheads (two million tons of TNT), so theres no need for pinpoint precision. But few believe any conflict would play out like that. Russian air force Su-30MKI fighter jet takes off during the MAKS-2015 International Aviation and Space Show in Zhukovsky, outside Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2015. Russia's aerospace industry, for example, has benefited greatly from international exports to non-Western nations, which go to Russia to buy effective fighter jets that are cheaper than their Western variants. Having said that, accidents can happen and disagreements between two seemingly rational parties can and do quickly spiral out of control. The aggression in the Baltics, especially Estonia, which has a large Russian-speaking minority, has been more ambiguous than Moscow's overt operations in Ukraine and Syria. Franz-Stefan Gady, the specialist in future warfare, believes this will certainly yield benefits in 20 years' time but before then there will be a worrying gap. That has sparked concern in the West that Putin's ultimate goal is to break NATO with force, if intimidation fails. Read about our approach to external linking. It's denial." And it's a huge gamble for Moscow, experts say. Meaning what, in practice? Naval Institute News, The Diplomat, Foreign Policy, Combat Aircraft Monthly, VICE News, and others. Russia has the world's largest nuclear arsenal. Russias invasion of Ukraine is already one of the most destructive and lethal wars in recent memory, from the shelling of cities to the use of thermobaric vacuum weapons. Thats led experts and civilians, alike, to wonder whatif NATO and the U.S. become directly involved in the conflicta nuclear war between Washington and Moscow might look like. Yet the Obama administration has been reluctant to provide more robust support, determined, it seems, to avoid the potential for a proxy war with the Russians. What War With Russia Would Look Like - The Burning Platform Much of this has been directed at cyber activity - disruptive attacks aimed at undermining the fabric of Western society, influencing elections, stealing sensitive data. But in a way, that doesn't matter, because Russia does not plan to send its forces all across the world's oceans. What war with Iran could look like Military Times interviewed more than a dozen military experts, including current and former U.S. military officials, about how a conflict might begin and. Russia has repeatedly sent military aircraft into Baltic airspace, patrolled submarines in the Baltic Sea and allegedly mounted cyber-attacks. When Russia is defeated in Ukraine, look to Chechnya CNBC takes a look at the possible outcomes for Ukraine and what might happen in each of them: 1. Why Ukraine Conflict Could Look Like World War I - NBC News Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. AFP PHOTO / VASILY MAXIMOV (Photo credit should read VASILY MAXIMOV/AFP/Getty Images). Ukraine-Russia crisis: How soon might a war be and what would it look like? Smoke rises over Talbiseh, a city in western Syria's Homs province, on Sept. 30, marking Russian first airstrikes in the region. In this image made from video provided by Homs Media Centre, which has been verified and is consistent with other AP reporting, smoke rises after airstrikes by military jets in Talbiseh of the Homs province, western Syria, Wednesday, Sept. 30, 2015. Five U.S. Army brigadesbacked up by fighters, bombers, and cruise missilesdrive from Poland to Kyiv, then on to Donetsk. Not according to Michele Flournoy, who spent years right at the heart of US defence policy. "As far as one can tell, this is the most serious crisis with a potential nuclear dimension involving Russia and the United States/NATO since the end of the Cold War, even if the risk of a nuclear war is still considered 'small'as many analysts would argue," Alex Glaser, one the creators of Plan A, told Newsweek. Its airspace also is heavily fortified. Up goes the budget for digital technology, artificial intelligence and cyber. "It became clear that Russia is going to exercise a more ambitious policy in the Middle East. As a part of that, it is investing heavily to expand its submarine fleet. A nuclear war is extremely unlikely. Because of the dire consequences of a nuclear conflict, it is incumbent on nuclear states to seek diplomatic solutions, Drozdenko says. In late September, all sides agreed to withdraw tanks and heavy artillery from Ukraine's eastern front. She is referring, of course, to Russia and China, described respectively in the UK government's Integrated Review as "the acute threat" and the long-term "strategic rival" to the West. "The static airpower picture would favor the Russians because they have a lot of capability in terms of air defense and a variety of tactical and cruise and ballistic missiles," said Paul Schwartz, a Russian military analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. According to Glaser, a global thermonuclear war on this scale could certainly be considered a "worst-case scenario", although the title of the video hints at the fact that the sequence of events shown is simply part of the standard playbook. Tactical nuclear forces are smaller warheads that are used on the battlefield. The Ukraine War Has Already Begun - and It's Unlike Any You've Seen The XII International Aviation and Space Show in Zhukovsky opened Tuesday for specialists and press, with members of the public invited to visit it from Friday, Aug. 28. "We are really at a strategic inflection point where we - the US, the UK and our allies - are coming out of 20 years of focusing on counter terrorism and counter insurgency, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and lifting our gaze to realise we are now in a very serious great-power competition," she says. Patchy control Close watchers of the Russia-Ukraine war say the fluid and rapidly changing. "Because great powers are massively investing not only in offensive cyber capabilities but also in electronic warfare capabilities that can jam satellites and bring down communication. The second possibility is the eastern war approach. Most populous nation: Should India rejoice or panic? As a result, Ukraine has found itself with no country willing to actively defend it against nuclear-armed Russia for fear of entering into a nuclear war. Scientists at Princeton University decided to develop this potential scenario using "independent assessments of current U.S. and Russian force postures, nuclear war plans, and nuclear weapons targets. Russia reportedly is expanding its footprint at the Tarus facility. "The actual fatalities would be significantly increased by deaths occurring from the collapse of medical systems, as well as nuclear fallout and other long-term effects, including a possible global-scale nuclear winter.". by TNI Staff Here's What You Need To Know: Russia would need to size its invasion. "I would not want to speculate how long it would take for humanity to recover," Glaser said. Here, Russian forces would seek to reinforce the breakaway regions in the Donbas with . "We need anti-tank Javelin systems, intelligence and combat drones, fighter jets, helicopters, electronic and signal intelligence systems, radars and sound intelligence systems" to counter Russian military equipment used by Moscow-backed separatists on the eastern front, said Colonel General Victor Muzhenko, the Ukrainian military's top officer. NATO then retaliates with a single, tactical, nuclear air strike. Even prior to this year, Russia and the United States had been abandoning long-standing nuclear arms control treaties, commenced the development of new kinds of nuclear weapons, and expanded the range of circumstances in which these weapons might be used. Russia on June 20 slammed the EU's extension of sanctions over its annexation of Crimea as "blackmail" and vowed it would not be pressured into returning the peninsula to Ukraine. Russia's conventional forces are less impressive than its nuclear forces, though there are conventional areas where the Russians excel, including air defense, submarines and electronic warfare. But the eye-rolling is hitting epic levels this month as Russia has taken over the . There's nothing ordinary about Cold Response 2020. How much are the Russians truly capable of? But before you freak out and assume this is the world's fate, the chance of a nuclear global war is fairly unlikely. Kremlin critic Alexei Navalny says he faces life in jail over terror This can massively speed up commanders' decision-making and response times, allowing them to process information far more quickly. Well, almost the first things that would happen in any hostilities would be massive cyber attacks by both sides. 19FortyFive's defense and national security contributing editor, Dr. Robert Farley has taught security and diplomacy courses at the Patterson School since 2005. He lives in San Francisco. The simulation begins in the context of a conventional conflictRussia fires a warning shot from a base near the city of Kaliningrad in an attempt to stop a U.S./NATO advance. He is a former Military Times Pentagon reporter and served as a Middle East correspondent for the Stars and Stripes. In the final stage of the conflict, both Russia and NATO target the 30 most populated cities and economic centers of the other sideusing 5-10 nuclear warheads on each depending on population.